Innovative Coastal Modeling for Decision Support: Integrating Physical, Biological, and Toxicological Models

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Innovative Coastal Modeling for Decision Support: Integrating Physical, Biological, and Toxicological Models

Tuesday, September 26, 2006 to Thursday, September 28, 2006
Durham, New Hampshire

Meeting Goals

This workshop will occur on September 26-28, 2006, on the UNH campus (Durham, NH). The workshop will bring experts from diverse fields together with

OR&R scientists to discuss how to improve and integrate trajectory fate and effects forecasting capabilities. This workshop is by special invitation only.

Workshop discussions will include:

  • Predicting Risk - Approaches and Challenges
  • Forecasting Environmental Effects
  • Integrating Transport and Fate Models with Environmental and Toxicological Data
  • Communicating Complex Modeling to Decision Makers
  • Developing Response Time-Scale Predictions that Reflect Uncertainties and Are Useful to Decision Makers

Anticipated outcomes will be: an increased collaboration between scientists and decision makers across the physical, biological, and toxicological fields of spill response and modeling; incorporation of innovations from other scientific disciplines into spill modeling; and a set of research needs that addresses improvements to spill response modeling. 

A Workshop Overview is here>>>






Welcome & Introductions
Amy Merten and Nancy Kinner

Workshop Structure & Outcomes
Charles Vörösmarty, Facilitator

Spill Response: Defining the Challenges (NOAA)
Debbie Payton

Modeling for Decision Support: The Prestige Example
Joaquin Tintoré

Population-Level Risk Assessment:Pesticides Scenario and Experiences
Wayne Munns

Integrated Modeling: A New Approach to Improved Spill Response Modeling
Joel Baker

Integrating Biology and Toxicity into Physical Models
Christian Sarason

Breakout Session: Introduction: Overall Breakout Sessions Strategy Place of Refuge
CJ Beegle-Krause

What is Integrated Modeling?
Chris Barker

Response Options and Tradeoffs: How We Do It Now
Alan Mearns

Key Physical Process: Ocean Surface Mixed Layer
Greg Chini

Biophysical Modeling: Larval Dynamics and Recruitment in Coral Environments
Claire Paris-Limouzy

Toxicological Modeling: Impacts of Low Levels of Residual Oils on Toxicity Assessment of Oil Spills: Equilibrium Approach
Joy McGrath

Survival Time Models Quantitatively Predict Lethal Effects to Grass Shrimp: Pulsed and Different Duration Exposures to Single PAH and PAH Mixtures from Spilt Oil: Toxico-Kinetic Approach
Michael Unger

Integrated Assessment to Support Ecosystem Modeling and Management - currently not available
Tracy Collier

Modeling Dispersion for Decision-Makers: Dispersant Scenario - currently not available
Charlie Henry

Breakout Session: Integrated Modeling for Spills: Interdisciplinary Mapping of a Situation Space / Break into Groups to produce Influence Map and Integrated Model Wiring Diagram
CJ Beegle-Krause

Breakout Session: Introduction: Defining Time and Length Scales and Data Needs for Integrated Models
CJ Beegle-Krause

Workshop Participant Reading Materials

To see what an oil spill looks like, visit the NOAA OR&R website Open Water Oil Identification Job Aid

Galt, J.A. (1994) Trajectory Analysis for Oil Spills Journal of Advanced Marine Technology Conference 11, pp 91-126.

Recent paper on potential deepwater well blowout, Combining Modeling with Response in Potential Deep Well Blowout: Lessons Learned from Thunder Horse, Beegle-Krause, C.J.and W. Lynch. Accepted for IOSC 2005, May 15-19, 2005, Miami Beach, FL.

Job aid for making response decisions at the NOAA OR&R website, Characteristic Coastal Habitats: Choosing Spill Response Alternatives

Response Guides (We suggest picking one of these three)

Historical Incidents Database

Below are three particularly interesting incidents. By searching for these incidents in the historical database, you'll pull up all the records for each incident. Click on the incident name to see the initial report link. Search results come up with the latest entries first. Tracking the situation reports will give you a timeline of the incidents. Other products such weather, trajectory and resources at risk provide updates on the environmental information.

Seafood Issues: Guidance on Sensory Testing and Monitoring of Seafood for Presence of Petroleum Taint Following an Oil Spill. NOAA Technical Memorandum, NOS OR&R 9.

Questions?  Please contact (603.862.1545)